What is the plausible scenario resulting in a Newt comeback?
March 6, 2012Andisheh NouraeeComments
Unless of course every poll is wrong, today Newt Gingrich will win Georgia . . . and little else.
Simply because he isn?ˉt winning (or #winning) doesn?ˉt mean Newt is irrelevant. By fighting on, Gingrich helps tip the Republicans nomination to Romney by restricting Ron Santorum?ˉs capability to consolidate the GOP?ˉs large anti-Romney contingent. Santorum likely might have won Michigan if Gingrich had dropped out and endorsed him.
I?ˉm not recommending Gingrich is within cahoots with Romney to thwart Santorum. In the event that were the situation, I expect Newt wouldn?ˉt go on television calling Romney dishonest. Rather, I believe Newt is ready expect another big Republicans voter swing a swing which will again propel him to the top anti-Romney heap.
I don?ˉt observe that happening though. Today?ˉs two barometer states for that Republicans are Ohio and Tennessee. Both in states, it?ˉs Santorum, not Gingrich, with a decent chance at beating Romney. If Santorum wins Ohio and Tennessee, Romney will indeed suffer another serious wound. But under what plausible scenario does Gingrich take advantage of that? None will be able to consider. If Santorum wins Ohio and/or Tennessee today, nobody?ˉs likely to say, ?°Romney is weak. Let?ˉs all now election for Newt.?±